Saturday, May 17, 2008

You can read Petronas financials here .....

There was this guy called Ahmad Mustapha Hassan who stated in his article "to be open or to hide" that I read in Malaysia-Today today, that " Petronas has never, as far as memory can serve me , presented its profit and loss account. We are in the dark as to how Petronas earnings have been spent ......."

All he need do is to go to the website "http://www.petronas.com.my" that has been in cyberspace for some time where Petronas has published its financial statements in its annual reports from 2002 to 2007. Just for Ahmad Mustapha's benefit, Petronas's revenue for 2007 is RM 184.1 billion and its PBT is 76.3 billion  while its 2003 figures are RM 81.4 billion and 26.9 billion respectively.

My advice to you, Encik Mustapha, is to check first before making false statements to the general public.


Braggarts, boasters are not for me ...

I can't stand braggarts who are so overconfident that they think they can never lose, or that they are better than me, or that they are always right. I have had friends who always talk about how loaded they are, how impoverished I am, how their cars are more expensive than mine, and so on and so forth. Unfortunately, some of what they say are actually true - that I have no means to upgrade my standard of living, that I am forever doomed to live in a flat rather than a detached house, though my friends and I have had the same tertiary eduction and have come from a humble background. But what I can't stand about my friends is that they tend to rub it in. If I meet them again - on the street or in a wedding occasion or in a seminar - they somehow tend to say unpleasant things about me, although they do it in a polite way. The funny thing is that I have never talked bad things about them, whether direct to their faces or behind their backs.

The other day before the March election, an incumbent woman MP (from the MCA) bragged that she need not worry about Malay votes, when Chinese votes were more than enough to win her constituency again. Come election, she was soundly beaten by a DAP candidate. In Malay. its "padan muka". Then there was this chess player in Yahoo who bragged about how good he was when he beat me in our first game. He got beaten in the 2nd game. Then when the 3rd game did not seem to go his way, he abandoned it, leaving me waiting for his move for 8 minutes. He naturally lost the game when time was up.

Now, in the Malaysian political scene, we have this fellow Anwar Ibrahim bragging that he will form the next government. He seems to be absolutely sure that come September 16th 2008, not less than 30 MPs from BN would have defected to his PKR party and would thus enable him to form a majority in Parliament provided that he wins in a by-election. In Malay, he is"takbur" i.e. being so overconfident to the point that not even fate nor divine intervention could change that.

My advice to him is not to boast for he will have to eat his words come September 16th 2008.


Thursday, May 15, 2008

You think it's easy to run a government ..

The PKR promised, among other things, that they will reduce the water tariff  and 10%-20% of the assessment rates in Selangor before the recent March 2008 general election. Now that PKR, DAP and PAS have formed the Selangor state government, they have to make good on their promises. For water, it was promised that the first 20 cubic metre was free to every household. Instead of the tariff to be effective on 1st May 2008,  the Menteri Besar of Selangor has promised now the final effective date is 1st June 2008. We wait on his promise.

However, the Menteri Besar, has reneged on his promise on the reduction in the assessment rates saying that reduction is a severe blow to the State's budget, because assessment incomes form a very significant portion of the state's revenue. He is concocting all sorts of reasons for not reducing assessment rates, not even to 5 % say. Now he knows that its not easy to run a government.

In addition, the Menteri Besar has angered a significant portion of the state's electorates by going all out to develop pig farming in a big way. Doesn't he know that pig farming is the dirtiest industry in any country and that locating the farms near Malay villages in Selangor is tantamount to insulting the Malays. The pollution spawned from pig farming attacks the senses, the rivers, and the lands, apart from being a source of deadly viruses. Do you think that the pig farmers care about this ?

And another thing, one big-wig in PKR promised that Sabah be given 20 % in oil royalty instead of the present 5 % if the Sabah and Sarawak MPs defected to the opposition, especially to PKR. If Sabah gets 20 % oil royalty, should not Sarawak and Trengganu request for the same amount also. Do not simply promise when you cannot deliver !

If the Menteri Besar cannot run the state, he stands to lose a great number of votes, even in a by-election !



Rm 3 million is chicken feed ...

There was a media report on an MP in Sabah who said that if he had decided to defect from BN to the opposition PKR, he was expected to obtain a remuneration that was sufficient to live comfortably for 3 generations. Some people said that the amount was RM 3 million while other said that it was about RM 5 million. If what the others speculated was correct, then the MP was really stupid to accept anywhere between 3 to 5 million ringgit. This is not enough for him alone to live comfortably i.e. to have a good car, live in a detached house, and enjoy the comforts of life. Why, the other day I saw a detached house being priced at RM 2.5 million, and a condo for RM 11.0 million in K.L. 

These days a few million ringgit in your pocket is chicken feed. If the compensation is RM 30 million ringgit, then I believe what the MP said about having enough to live in comfort for 3 generations. A 3 percent interest on, say, a fixed deposit of RM 30 million is an annual income of RM 900,000 or a monthly income of RM 75,000 - and this is really enough to sustain 3 generations in comfort.

The ringgit is getting smaller even in its own country !


The Malaysian Ringgit ...

In the last few days, the MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) is weakening against the USD. On looking at the tables of exchange rates, I noticed that the MYR is also weakening against the Euro, the S$, the Yen, the Swiss Franc, the Baht, and almost every other currency units in the table, except the Rupiah. Just as I had hoped that the MYR would improve, it has now become worse - which means I would have to consider against travelling overseas, even to Singapore. The S$ was 1: 2.1 MYR some few months ago, and now is 1:2.37 MYR. Is BNM (the Central Bank of  Malaysia) encouraging the MYR to weaken in order to improve its exports or the MYR is intrinsically weakening ?

The balance of trade (BOT) for the first quarter of 2008 shows a favourable balance of MYR 26.084 billion and by the look of it, this would project to slightly more than the 2007 figure. However, electronic and electrical products (a major component of Malaysia's exports) show a disturbing downward trend that may affect the end-of-2008 Malaysia's BOT. Will these disturbing signs have any effect on the Malaysian Ringgit ?


Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Just kick Myanmar out of ASEAN ..

The Military junta that rules Myanmar with an iron grip is an inhuman government for allowing its citizens to die of starvation and disease. The junta is trying its level best to prevent foods, water and medicines, coming from their neighbours , especially ASEAN countries, who are criticised by USA and Britain for not doing enough to convince the stubborn junta into accepting aid. 

My advice to ASEAN is to forget about aid altogether. Let the 1.5 million or so Myanmarese die. Why should ASEAN's helping hands be bitten by the ungrateful junta. Let the junta be responsible for the death of its own people. With a population of about 50 million people, Myanmar can afford to lose a million here and a million there !

ASEAN should now strongly consider kicking Myanmar out of the grouping if the junta continuously frustrates ASEAN efforts to help Myanmar. ASEAN do not need Myanmar and by the look of it Myanmar does not need ASEAN. So kick Myanmar out.

What has Myanmar to offer to ASEAN countries ? Rice ? - there are plenty in Thailand and Vietnam. Opium ? - ASEAN can do without it. Minerals ? - ASEAN don't need them. Maybe prostitutes ! With so many Myanmarese women starving to feed their children and families, it won't be long before they start illegally migrating to Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore to offer their services.


Monday, May 12, 2008

What are you guys doing with money not belonging to you ...

Before I forget, I better record this for my future reference. It seems to me that PNB is departing from its original objectives of investing public funds in the stock exchange and obtain dividends by investing in good listed corporations. In an article in  Utusan Malaysia, PNB plans to become another UEM which runs the tolled North-South highway through its subsidiary, PLUS. 

PNB plans to spend some RM 2.0 billion to construct a 23 kilometre highway to network it with its 3 other highways that PNB is now owning/managing through its subsidiary called Prolintas. According to the CEO of Prolintas, Zainuddin A Kadir, by using this new network of highways, commuters are able to mimimise their toll fees, instead of using the 3 highways in a disjointed fashion. The CEO has not yet identified the path of the new highway further saying that it is privately finance initiative project  which is another name for "privatisation". He goes on to say that the project is partially funded internally and partly through government efforts relating to land and others, whatever that means.

He goes on to say that, presently, Prolintas owns/manages 3 highways namely, the elevated highway from KL to Ampang, the Guthrie Corridor Highway, and the Bt Rimau-Shah Alam Highway. The CEO cites that on the average, the daily traffic volume through the elevated highway is some 60,000 vehicles and potentially rising to 93,000 in the future, while an average of 40,000 vehicles run through the Guthrie Highway in a day. What he does not say is whether the 3 highways are making money or not.

And yet another thing he says is that Prolintas may venture outside the country and that Prolintas has been invited by these countries (names not given) to undertake similar projects i.e. construct and operate. Prolintas or for that matter PNB seems to be ignorant of the UEM's bad experience in Manila. 

Sometime in 1998, just as UEM was about to start its tolled highway in Manila, its operations was prevented by the courts when a lone Filipino sued the highway on the premise that before "he used the road for free, and now why should he be made to pay for the toll", of course conveniently forgetting that the road he used before was probably slightly better than a dirt track. The Manila courts, without thinking of the huge costs involved in making a highway out of a dirt track, adjudged in favour of the protestor and subsequently stopped UEM from operating the highway, preventing it from collecting tolls, which UEM desperately needed to begin paying for its huge loans. I don't know what happened after that - whether UEM abandoned the tolled highway to be taken over by Manila for free or otherwise.

Another example is Telekom Malaysia's joint-venture business with Ghana. After TM spent so much, in the hundreds of millions of ringgit, to revamp the country's telecommunication network, there was a change in the Ghanaian government. The new President was hostile to TM and TM was made to lose millions when Ghana's currency' the Cedi, was steeply devalued. The present government under John Prokuofor reneged on whatever agreement saying that the utility company made agreement with the previous government, and hence all previous agreements were null and void.  All the installations set up by the utility company went for free to the African country. At least on a good note, Ghana was finally prepared to acquire TM's portion of the equity in the company that ultimately controlled telecommunication in Ghana in 2005. Its one good lesson for TM's adventure in Africa.

The moral of the story is that we Malaysians should not invest hundreds of millions of our precious ringgits in poor countries like those in Africa, or in countries like the Philipines. Better invest in our country where we poor rakyat will surely benefit, even if there is a foul-up somewhere. 

In the former, government change hands at every coup, while in the latter, if the government is agreeable, then the military may object; and if both are agreeable, then the people may object, and if all three are agreeable, then the church may object and if all are agreeable, there will be somebody, some group, somewhere in the Philippines, will object and in the end, we Malaysians end up giving our hard-earned money to these ingrates. The funny thing is that before the projects get started and before money is spent, everybody seem to be agreeable and but only start to object when the project is completed. If we Malaysians still feel like investing in, say, Manila, since if we think we still we have a lot of cash, then invest in go-go bars, in strip joints, nightclubs, brothels and such likes, where capital returns are high, and risks on investment are relatively small. Never, never, never, be involved in mega-projects.

Rather than being a funds manager, PNB has now become a highway operator, and soon to be a contractor. By buying the Merdeka sports complex from UEM,  at an undisclosed price, PNB is already a property owner and by turning the two stadia into a heritage property, it is now a guardian of Malaysian heritage. I wonder where PNB got its money from to buy this property. It wont be long before PNB starts being a conglomerate involving directly in many business ventures, without even consulting the shareholders of the funds. 



Hail to Manchester United ...

Chelsea deserve to be No 2 to Manchester United whether in EPL or in the coming Euro cup. This is because they can't even win playing at home to low rated Bolton whereas MU show class in finishing their away  game with an easy goal from Ryan Giggs from a defense splitting pass from Rooney that caught the Wigan defenders flat-footed.

The lucky goal scored by Schevchenko was nothing to shout about as even my grandmother could shoot  from that position.


Crude oil price, please, please stop rising ,,,

There seems to be no let up in the price rise of crude oil. No sooner had the price went down below USD 118/= per barrel not a few days ago than I saw today on the news that the price has gone up to nearly USD 126/= per barrel. Who or what are responsible for this unrelenting rise in price ? Is it Opec, or large consuming nations like China or India, or a bunch of speculators at the various commodity exchanges, or shortages in production or the weakening US dollar ?

At this rate of price increase, it won't be long before the price reaches USD 200/= per barrel