Its reported today that Malaysian property market would increase by 10 to 30 percent this year. This is due to increases in the prices of 2 essential components of buildings viz. steel and cement. These 2 items are controlled items - meaning the prices have already been fixed by the government at RM 11.50 per bag for cement and RM 1,800 per tonne for steel. But suppliers have a way of going around the restriction by increasing transport, administrative and other costs to get their 10 to 30 percent increase in their supplies. It seems to me that this report is an annual affair announced by those people who are pro-developers and anti-consumers. If it's not steel or cement, they would blame the increase in property to increases in land cost, or sand, diesel, bricks, and so on.
In fact, there has been no let up in property price since 1970. These same people are the ones that are against any consumer-friendly proposals for a build-first and sell-later concept and very pro on progressive construction and pay as you go along. In the first instance, the consumer has a choice of inspecting the property and decides whether to buy or not, while in the second instance the consumer is committed to buy the property even if the property is still on the drawing board. Such are the ways things are in Malaysia and the present government are no help either in assisting the consumers.
Any property developer that approaches me to buy a house, I always tell him to build the house first, and then I will consider buying it later. To this, the agent would always reply that the house is now "cheap" and if you wait when it's complete, the house will be "expensive". It's like buying a car. The salesman is persuading you to buy the car now saying that the price would go up in the next month. If you are patient enough, come next month, the car price remains the same or may even be lower.
My uncle liked to tell me that when he first worked in KL in the early 1970, a single-storey (ST) terraced house cost about RM 20,000-25,000, a double-storey (DT) about RM 28,000-32,000, a semi-detached (SD) about RM 35,000-50,000 while a detached house (popularly termed wrongly as a "bungalow" ) for less than RM 80,000-90,000. At that time, no detached house cost more than RM 100,000 unless it's located in Kenny Hill, and Damansara Heights - 2 prestigious locations during those days.
At that time, my uncle was earning a monthly salary of RM 1,500. When my uncle retired some 30 years later with a last drawn monthly salary of RM 15,500, an ST house anywhere in the Klang Valley cost about RM 300,000 to 400,000, a DT house about RM 500,000 to 600,000, a SD about RM 750,000 to 950,000 while a detached house not less than RM 1.5 million anywhere, and in those 2 locations not less than RM 3.5 million. So while my uncles's salary has gone up 10 times, an ST house has gone up 11-12 times, a DT house 12-14 times, a SD 18-20 times, and a detached house more than 15 times, and in the 2 locations some 20 to 30 times. No wonder my uncle never bought a house. Instead he lived in a small apartment.
I like to think that property price increase is caused by the developer only. Since there are 2 parties involved - the seller and the buyer - the consumers are partly to be blamed, perhaps even more so due to the speculative attitude of the Malaysian house buyer who is greedy to make a fast buck even when he's already owned a couple of houses to his credit. Encouraged by easy financial terms, he buys a house now in order to make 5 to 10 percent when he re-sells the house (even when under construction) in a few months time or at double his original purchased price in a few years time. Under this environment, no wonder property prices have been spiralling upwards for years.
I am beginning to think that the Malaysian domestic economy is dependent on only 2 things, one is the property industry while the other is the car industry.